Past week we witness a huge ramp up of USD treasury yields as results the skyrocket of USD pair. JPY went vulnerable after Fumio Kishida takes office as Japan's new Prime Minister. USD/JPY manage to climb high as 112.078 (a Feb 2020 price area) ringing the bell looking for a better safe alternative (currently USD) as the grow of commodities and the linked currencies make them better alternative displacing CHF and JPY. Wait for mid October or 2W/9M price action to see a opposite move or small rally.
Moreover the correlation of JPY with S&P 500 we saw a late week move up as equities rose 30 Sep and 1 Oct. For instance, while a case can be made that the JPY shouldn’t be a safe haven currency, it behaves as one. When S&P500 weakens, the pair historically tends to drop (above chart based on weekly data since January 2000). Nordea
The area of the currency vary between 111.3 and 110.88. Asia kept JPY high with toping 111.15 and closing 110.97. Early Europe session rose the pair up to previous weekly close retesting the 23.6% retracement. US start seems to be a firm one as there isn't any significant news coming today. Equalities shall engrave the course of price action expecting to rise opposing treasury yield 14.65 slope (- 4.19% down today). The close of US market looks to be a loss for USD currencies but a green day for the pair, high fiving 112.0 price point giving the first clue for the pending mini retrace aiming to 50% mark 110.570.
Option expire: 111.25 (550m) 112.20(450m)
Pivot points: R3 111.81 R2 111.55 R1 111.40 PP 111.14 S1 111.00 S2 110.74 S3 110.59
Price distribution between Bollinger band:
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